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Friday, September 7, 2012

Private & Government Jobs Gained & Lost Under Obama (August 2012 update)


This post has been updated with October Jobs numbers at the following link:

Private & Government Jobs Gained & Lost Under Obama (Updated for October)

How many jobs (total, private, and government) have been lost or gained since Obama was inaugurated?  
  • 4,317,000 TOTAL jobs (in seasonally adjusted numbers) were LOST in from the time Obama took office until the "trough" of the recession in early 2010.  That's a decrease of 3.2%. 
  • 4,056,000 jobs (in seasonally adjusted numbers) were CREATED from the "trough" of the recession until now, August 2012.  That's an increase of 3.14%.
  • In total, 261,000  jobs (in seasonally adjusted numbers) were LOST from the time Obama took office until now, August 2012.  That's a decrease of 0.2%. *
  • We have experienced 23 months WITHOUT job losses since September 2010.  We have ADDED 3,415,000 jobs during those 23 months. 
  • We now have 133,300,000 TOTAL non-farm jobs.  

*  These are all net figures, meaning that they represent the total number of jobs at the end of a reporting period.  All losses have been subtracted from all gains and vice verse.
    *  Though, as of July 2012, we still have fewer jobs (in adjusted numbers) than when President Obama took office, jobs are being added at a faster clip under Obama than under George Bush at the same time in his presidency.  At this point in Bush's presidency (July 2004), there were still 978,000 FEWER jobs than when he was inaugurated in January 2001 (compared to 316,000 FEWER for Obama).  The number of jobs didn't eclipse the number when Bush was first inaugurated until February 2005, in Bush's second term.  (This will be updated for August in the next few days.)  

    How many PRIVATE sector jobs have been lost or gained since Obama was inaugurated?
    • 4,213,000 PRIVATE-sector jobs (in seasonally adjusted numbers) were LOST from the time Obama took office until the "trough" of the recession in early 2010.  That's a decrease of 3.8%.
    • 4,628,000 PRIVATE-sector jobs (in seasonally adjusted numbers) were GAINED OR CREATED from the "trough" of the recession until now, August 2012.  That's an increase of 4.33%.
    • In total, 415,000 private sector jobs (in seasonally adjusted numbers) have been GAINED from the time Obama took office until now, August 2012.  That's a net increase of 0.37%. *
    • We have experienced 30 months of positive private-sector job GROWTH from February 2010 until August 2012.  We have added 4,628,000 private-sector jobs during those 30 months.    
    • We now have 111,400,000 PRIVATE sector non-farm jobs.
    *Though, as of July 2012, we still have fewer private-sector jobs (in adjusted numbers) than when President Obama took office, jobs are being added at a faster clip under Obama than under George Bush at the same time in his presidency.  At this point in Bush's presidency (July 2004), there were still 1,749,000 FEWER private sector jobs than when he was inaugurated in January 2001 (compared to 332,000 MORE for Obama).  The number of private-sector jobs didn't eclipse the number when Bush was first inaugurated until June 2005, in Bush's second term.  (This will be updated with August numbers in the next few days.)        

    How many GOVERNMENT jobs have been lost or gained since Obama was inaugurated?
    • 102,000 GOVERNMENT jobs (in seasonally adjusted numbers) were LOST from the time Obama took office until the "trough" of the recession in early 2010.  That's a decrease of  .47%  (about half of a percent). 
    • Another 574,000 GOVERNMENT jobs (in seasonally adjusted numbers) were LOST from the "trough" of the recession until now, August 2012.  That's a decrease of 2.55%.
    • In total, 676,000 government jobs (in seasonally adjusted numbers) were LOST from the time Obama took office until now, August 2012.  That's a decrease of 2.99%.  A large portion of these jobs, 289,000, have been lost in the "Local Government - Education" sector. (Teachers.)
    • We have experienced decreases in the number of government jobs in 24 out of the last 27 months, starting in June 2010, when the layoff of 2010 Census workers began.  
    • We now have 21,900,000 GOVERNMENT jobs, not including people in the military.  (Civilians employed by the U.S. and working for the military are counted.)
    (Note:  Current numbers taken from the June Bureau of Labor Statistics Employment Situation Report.  Historical numbers taken from various archived Employment Situation reports as indexed HERE. Specifics will be provided upon request; please email me or leave a comment.)

    An afterthought---

    A reader asks:

    How Many Private Sector Jobs Were Lost Because of Obama?

    We haven't lost ANY private sector jobs (net) since February 2010, a year after Obama took office.  Between January 2009 and February 2010, we lost 4,213,000 private sector jobs as stated above.

    Should we "blame" Obama for not being immediately able to stem the tide of private sector job loss in 2009?  If a house is burning out of control and the fire department comes to put out the fire, it continues to burn until it is brought under control and cooled down, right?  Now.. would you blame the fire department for the continued fire and the time to put it out after the firefighters arrive on the scene?

    Well, you might, but I wouldn't:  Here's my reasoning:  Burning Down the House!

    So my answer to this question would be a big, fat ZERO.  I do NOT feel that Obama is to blame for any loss of jobs between January 2009 and February 2010.  If you think he is, please leave a comment and explain your reasoning.  

    2 comments:

    1. Regarding the stats from when Obama took office.. you are using the data starting from the January data (december report of 2008) or the January report released in Feb of 2009? thanks

      ReplyDelete
      Replies
      1. Jobs and unemployment data is based on surveys completed for the week that contains the 12th day of the month. Therefore, jobs data for the month during which a President is inaugurated was collected BEFORE that President took office. Therefore, the 818,000 jobs lost in January 2009 belong in the Bush column as Obama wasn't inaugurated until January 20, 2009.

        So I add or subtract current numbers from the January 2009 data which was released in February 2009.

        Many people suggest that "claim or blame" for jobs and economic numbers should start later when there is a presidential transition.. Some say three months later, some say as long as 9 months later, in October, when the new President's first FY starts.

        I hope that clarifies things... Thanks for stopping by!

        Delete

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